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Europe bulletin: France budget deadlock, Red sea shipping risk, Ellison’s UK lobbying

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January 16, 2026
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Europe bulletin: France budget deadlock, Red sea shipping risk, Ellison’s UK lobbying
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Europe’s political and economic fault lines deepened this week as France delayed its 2026 austerity budget amid parliamentary deadlock.

Germany’s VDA warned carmakers against resuming Suez Canal shipments until insurers clarify Red Sea coverage, despite Maersk’s planned January 26 return.

Skydance CEO David Ellison lobbied UK Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy for Warner Bros. bid support, while Ukraine’s KIIS poll revealed 54% opposition to Donetsk withdrawal despite US pressure.

Paramount CEO meets UK Culture Secretary

David Ellison, Paramount SkyDance’s CEO, met with UK Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy on Thursday amid his $108.4 billion hostile bid for Warner Bros. Discovery.

The timing was strategic; the meeting coincided with a Delaware court rejecting Paramount’s request to fast-track litigation against Warner Bros over Netflix disclosure details.

Ellison’s charm offensive across Europe aims to secure political backing for his all-cash $30-per-share offer against Netflix’s lower cash-and-stock proposal.

Paramount is simultaneously nominating directors to Warner Bros’ board to force negotiations.

This European lobbying blitz includes recent meetings with France’s President Macron, signaling an aggressive push for deal legitimacy as regulatory scrutiny intensifies on both sides of the Atlantic.

Ukrainians reject Donetsk withdrawal

Over half of Ukrainians categorically oppose withdrawing troops from Donetsk for security guarantees, a KIIS poll released Friday shows.

Fifty-four percent reject territorial concessions, while only 39% express reluctant acceptance, conditional on substantial security assurances.

The data reflects deep wariness stemming from the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, when Ukraine surrendered nuclear weapons for protection that Russia later violated.

Nearly 70% doubt ongoing peace negotiations will yield lasting settlements, with 57% fearing renewed Russian attacks despite ceasefire agreements.

Even more troubling: 40% distrust US support if Russia attacks again.

These numbers underscore Ukraine’s impossible position, under American pressure to negotiate while facing domestic skepticism toward concessions and allied guarantees.​

France delays budget amid deadlock

France’s government postponed budget talks from Friday to Tuesday as lawmakers remain deadlocked over the 2026 austerity plan.

Parliamentary relations minister Laurent Panifous declared passage “impossible by vote,” admitting negotiations have collapsed after three months.

The far-left and far-right deliberately sabotaged proceedings, Budget Minister Amelie de Montchalin accused them of “methodically voting amendments to make the budget unvotable.”

Prime Minister Lecornu will on Friday unveil emergency options: invoke constitutional Article 49.3 to force passage without voting, risking no-confidence motions that could topple his government, or issue a decree bypassing parliament entirely.

The Socialists, critical swing votes, threaten to back censure if excluded.

France’s political paralysis since Macron’s 2024 snap election has now claimed three prime ministers in 12 months, and the eurozone’s second-largest economy faces a fiscal crisis without a swift resolution.

Germany’s VDA still dicey about Suez Canal

Germany’s automotive industry association VDA says unresolved insurance questions persist before carmakers resume shipping through the Suez Canal, two years after Houthi attacks forced global diversion around Africa.

Crew safety remains paramount, VDA stressed Friday, after conducting preliminary route surveys with select shipping partners.

While faster transits and lower costs beckon, potentially cutting transit time by a week compared to Cape of Good Hope detours, insurers haven’t yet clarified coverage terms for renewed Red Sea passages.

Maersk’s January 26 return marks the first major carrier commitment; CMA CGM has already tested routes.

However, most competitors, including Hapag-Lloyd and Allsee Willmsen, remain cautious, delaying full resumption pending clarity on liability and crew protections.

The gradual, phased approach reflects underlying anxiety: one security incident could reignite global chaos and spike freight rates already recovering from two-year supply chain disruption.

The post Europe bulletin: France budget deadlock, Red sea shipping risk, Ellison’s UK lobbying appeared first on Invezz


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